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Carmignac Investissement: Letter from the Fund Manager

Author(s)
Kristofer BARRETT
Published on
October 8, 2024
Read time
5 minute(s) read
+16.94%
Carmignac Investissement’s performance since the beginning of the year (for the A EUR Share class) compared to +17.45% for its reference indicator1.
+26.13%
Carmignac Investissement’s performance over 1 year (for the A EUR share class) compared to +24.99% for its reference indicator.
+67.61%
Performance of Carmignac Investissement over 5 years (for the A EUR share class)) compared with +73.62% for its reference indicator.

Over the third quarter 2024, Carmignac Investissement A EUR Acc recorded a performance of -3.68%, underperforming its reference indicator (+2.38%). The performance since the beginning of the year stands at +16.94% against +17.45% for its reference indicator.

Market environment

Several market indices reached new all-time highs over the quarter, despite a volatility shock in August driven by weaker US economic data, the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike, and thin summer liquidity.
Equity markets maintained an optimistic outlook throughout the quarter, reflecting a soft landing scenario for US growth. Despite rising unemployment, US economic data remained overall resilient, buoyed by robust consumer spending supported by wealth effects. Additionally, the Federal Reserve initiated its rate-cutting cycle with an unusually large reduction of half a percentage point, providing further support for equity markets.

Towards the end of the quarter, Chinese equities experienced a resurgence as Beijing's stimulus measures sparked optimism for a recovery in the world's second-largest economy. These measures aimed to counteract monetary contraction, address the housing market meltdown, and revive the slumping equity market.

The Q2 earnings season saw elevated market volatility in response to a few reports, masking the reality of a better-than-expected earnings season overall. The season concluded with the highly anticipated Nvidia earnings report, which revealed earnings better than expectations but not enough to spark enthusiam, even though revenue more than doubled in the last quarter.
Market leadership shifted this quarter, with sectors previously hurt by high interest rates, such as utilities and real estate, outperforming, while growth stocks, particularly those involved in the AI trade, lost some of their recent gains.

How did we fare in this context?

Despite strong equity market performance, our stock selection was adversely affected by the unwinding of the AI trade due to concerns about a potential slowdown in the AI revolution. Key detractors included Samsung Electronics, which struggled in critical markets and fell behind rival SK Hynix in AI-related memory chips. Alphabet also faced challenges due to increasing regulatory uncertainties.
Many AI-related stocks are now trading at attractive valuations, and the long-term fundamentals remain strong. The segment continues to be driven by investments from cloud hyperscalers. We are investing not only in these hyperscalers but also in companies that enable this shift across the value chain.

Beyond the tech sector, Novo Nordisk was the largest detractor to performance. Negative news about potential competitors to its weight-loss and diabetes drugs, pricing concerns in the US, and disappointing data from its pipeline weight-loss pill weighed on the stock. We gradually reduced our position over the quarter due to a more troubled short-term outlook. However, our healthcare portfolio benefited from our exposure to US managed care organization Centene and UnitedHealth.
Our holding in the energy services company Schlumberger was detrimental. The global economic slowdown led to a fall in oil prices. In addition, Saudi Arabia announced that it would increase its production of the black gold in order to regain market shares lost in recent months.

Outlook and positioning

The current environment remains constructive for equities markets. Indeed, in a scenario of gradual economic slowdown and global monetary easing, risky assets should continue to perform well as long as we don’t have a recession. However, similar to the third quarter, markets are likely to be more volatile, necessitating a degree of caution. The primary risks to equities lies in over-optimistic expectations for corporate earnings and uncertainties surrounding the US elections, which justify maintaining some hedges, mostly through options.

The portfolio adopts a balanced approach, combining stocks with high earnings and relatively high valuations on one side, and stocks with lower growth but high visibility and attractive valuations on the other.

Technology remains our top sector allocation, with numerous companies emerging as major beneficiaries of digitalisation.
Among our key convictions are Synopsys and Cadence, whose software tools are utilized by chipmakers like Nvidia and Intel to design and test processors. Beyond these two leaders, their growth increasingly depends on Big Tech companies such as Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Amazon, which are striving to develop their own chips, particularly for artificial intelligence systems in the cloud.
TSMC is the largest holding in our fund. Positioned attractively against both Intel and Samsung in leading-edge technology, TSMC benefits from Apple and Nvidia as an anchor customer. The shares offer a unique combination of an attractive cyclical backdrop—characterized by under-shipping demand—valuation in line with the 5-year average, structural tailwinds, and being a key beneficiary of AI advancements.

We also maintain a significant weighting in the healthcare sector, covering both ends of the spectrum: high-growth, innovation-driven companies and lower-growth, high-visibility business models that play essential roles in a complex value chain. For instance, obesity treatments represent a prime example of innovation and long-term opportunity. We believe this market, dominated by giants like Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly, has room for smaller players. Additionally, we invest in other critical links in the healthcare value chain, such as pharmaceutical distributors and health insurers in the US, with companies like Centene and UnitedHealth.
In others sectors, we have an exposure to Safran and General Electric both of which benefit from secularly growing passenger volumes that have historically grown at 1.5-2 times global GDP. This attractive duopolistic industry structure features significant barriers to entry, leading to pricing power in sticky, non-discretionary aftermarket revenue streams on a large installed base of engines.

We are gradually increasing our exposure to small and mid-cap companies, which provides an excellent opportunity to diversify our portfolio. Among these, we have invested in Elite Material, a Taiwanese company specializing in the production of copper-clad laminates, a critical component in the manufacture of electronic chips.

1MSCI ACWI (USD) (Net dividends reinvested).

Carmignac Investissement

A Fund geared for a changing world
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Carmignac Investissement A EUR Acc

ISIN: FR0010148981
Recommended minimum investment horizon
5 years
Risk indicator*
4/7
SFDR - Fund Classification**
Article 8

*Risk Scale from the KID (Key Information Document). Risk 1 does not mean a risk-free investment. This indicator may change over time. **Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR) 2019/2088. The SFDR classification of the Funds may change over time.

Main risks of the fund

Equity: The Fund may be affected by stock price variations, the scale of which is dependent on external factors, stock trading volumes or market capitalization.
Currency: Currency risk is linked to exposure to a currency other than the Fund’s valuation currency, either through direct investment or the use of forward financial instruments.
Discretionary Management: Anticipations of financial market changes made by the Management Company have a direct effect on the Fund's performance, which depends on the stocks selected.
The Fund presents a risk of loss of capital. Please refer to the Fund’s prospectus to view the exhaustive list of risks.

Fees

ISIN: FR0010148981
Entry costs
4,00% of the amount you pay in when entering this investment. This is the most you will be charged. Carmignac Gestion doesn't charge any entry fee. The person selling you the product will inform you of the actual charge.
Exit costs
We do not charge an exit fee for this product.
Management fees and other administrative or operating costs
1,80% of the value of your investment per year. This estimate is based on actual costs over the past year.
Performance fees
20,00% max. of the outperformance once performance since the start of the year exceeds that of the reference indicator and if no past underperformance still needs to be offset. The actual amount will vary depending on how well your investment performs. The aggregated cost estimation above includes the average over the last 5 years, or since the product creation if it is less than 5 years.
Transaction Cost
0,35% of the value of your investment per year. This is an estimate of the costs incurred when we buy and sell the investments underlying the product. The actual amount varies depending on the quantity we buy and sell.

Performance

ISIN: FR0010148981
Carmignac Investissement+19,9+17,4+25,0+18,9−18,3+4,0+33,7+24,7−14,2+4,8
Reference Indicator+17,0+7,9+25,3+18,1−13,0+27,5+6,7+28,9−4,8+8,9
Carmignac Investissement+24,5%+9,8%+10,6%
Reference Indicator+20,1%+10,9%+12,2%

Source: Carmignac at Oct 30, 2026.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor). The Fund presents a risk of loss of capital.
The return may increase or decrease as a result of currency fluctuations, for the shares which are not currency-hedged.

Reference Indicator: MSCI AC World NR index

Share

Marketing communication. Please refer to the KID/KIID, prospectus of the fund before making any final investment decisions. This document is intended for professional clients.

This material may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, without prior authorisation from the Management Company. This material does not constitute a subscription offer, nor does it constitute investment advice. This material is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. This material has been provided to you for informational purposes only and may not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or interests referred to herein or for any other purposes. The information contained in this material may be partial information and may be modified without prior notice. They are expressed as of the date of writing and are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources deemed by Carmignac to be reliable, are not necessarily all-inclusive and are not guaranteed as to accuracy. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by Carmignac, its officers, employees or agents.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor). The return may increase or decrease as a result of currency fluctuations, for the shares which are not currency-hedged.

Reference to certain securities and financial instruments is for illustrative purposes to highlight stocks that are or have been included in the portfolios of funds in the Carmignac range. This is not intended to promote direct investment in those instruments, nor does it constitute investment advice. The Management Company is not subject to prohibition on trading in these instruments prior to issuing any communication. The portfolios of Carmignac funds may change without previous notice. The reference to a ranking or prize, is no guarantee of the future results of the UCIS or the manager.

Morningstar Rating™ : © Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. The information contained herein: is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its content providers; may not be copied or distributed; and is not warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information.

Access to the Funds may be subject to restrictions regarding certain persons or countries. This material is not directed to any person in any jurisdiction where (by reason of that person’s nationality, residence or otherwise) the material or availability of this material is prohibited. Persons in respect of whom such prohibitions apply must not access this material. Taxation depends on the situation of the individual. The Funds are not registered for retail distribution in Asia, in Japan, in North America, nor are they registered in South America. Carmignac Funds are registered in Singapore as restricted foreign scheme (for professional clients only). The Funds have not been registered under the US Securities Act of 1933. The Funds may not be offered or sold, directly or indirectly, for the benefit or on behalf of a «U.S. person», according to the definition of the US Regulation S and FATCA.
The risks, fees and ongoing charges are described in the KID (Key Information Document). The KID must be made available to the subscriber prior to subscription. The subscriber must read the KID. Investors may lose some or all their capital, as the capital in the funds are not guaranteed. The Funds present a risk of loss of capital.

The Funds’ prospectus, KIDs, NAVs and annual reports are available at www.carmignac.com/en, or upon request to the Management Carmignac Portfolio refers to the sub-funds of Carmignac Portfolio SICAV, an investment company under Luxembourg law, conforming to the UCITS Directive. The French investment funds (fonds communs de placement or FCP) are common funds in contractual form conforming to the UCITS or AIFM Directive under French law.

  • In the United Kingdom: the Funds’ respective prospectuses, KIIDs and annual reports are available at www.carmignac.com/en-gb, or upon request to the Management Company, or for the French Funds, at the offices of the acilities Agent, Carmignac UK Ltd, 2 Carlton House Terrace, London, SW1Y 5AF. This document was prepared by Carmignac Gestion, Carmignac Gestion Luxembourg or Carmignac UK Ltd. FP Carmignac ICVC (the “Company”) is an Investment Company with variable capital incorporated in England and Wales under registered number 839620 and is authorised by the FCA with effect from 4 April 2019 and launched on 15 May 2019. FundRock Partners Limited is the Authorised Corporate Director (the “ACD”) of the Company and is authorised and regulated by the FCA. Registered Office: Hamilton Centre, Rodney Way, Chelmsford, Essex, CM1 3BY, UK; Registered in England and Wales with number 4162989. Carmignac Gestion Luxembourg SA has been appointed as the Investment Manager and distributor in respect of the Company. Carmignac UK Ltd (Registered in England and Wales with number 14162894) has been appointed as a sub-Investment Manager of the Company and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority with FRN:984288.

  • In Switzerland: the prospectus, KIDs and annual report are available at www.carmignac.com/en-ch, or through our representative in Switzerland, CACEIS (Switzerland), S.A., Route de Signy 35, CH-1260 Nyon. The paying agent is CACEIS Bank, Montrouge, Nyon Branch / Switzerland, Route de Signy 35, 1260 Nyon.

  • In Belgium: This document is intended for professional clients. This content has not been validated by FSMA. The decision to invest in the promoted fund should take into account all its characteristics or objectives as described in its prospectus. This communication is published by Carmignac Gestion S.A., a portfolio management company approved by the Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF) in France, and its Luxembourg subsidiary Carmignac Gestion Luxembourg, S.A., an investment fund management company approved by the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier (CSSF). “Carmignac” is a registered trademark. “Investing in your Interest” is a slogan associated with the Carmignac trademark. This document does not constitute advice on any investment or arbitrage of transferable securities or any other asset management or investment product or service. The information and opinions contained in this document do not take into account investors’ specific individual circumstances and must never be interpreted as legal, tax or investment advice. The information contained in this document may be partial and could be changed without notice. This document may not be reproduced in whole or in part without prior authorisation. The risks and fees are described in the KID (Key Information Document). The prospectus, KID, the net asset-values and the latest (semi-) annual management report may be obtained, free of charge, in French or in Dutch, from the management company (tel. +352 46 70 60 1) or by consulting its website or www.fundinfo.com. These materials may also be obtained from Caceis Belgium S.A., the financial service provider in Belgium, at the following address: avenue du port, 86c b320, B-1000 Brussels. The Fund (fonds commun de placement or FCP) is a common fund in contractual form conforming to the UCITS Directive under French law. Access to the Fund may be subject to restrictions regarding certain persons or countries. The Funds are not registered for retail distribution in Asia, in Japan, in North America, nor are they registered in South America. Carmignac Funds are registered in Singapore as restricted foreign scheme (for professional clients only). The Funds have not been registered under the US Securities Act of 1933. The Funds may not be offered or sold, directly or indirectly, for the benefit or on behalf of a «U.S. person», according to the definition of the US Regulation S and FATCA. In case of subscription to a fund subject to Article 19bis of the Belgian Income Tax Code (CIR92), the investor will have to pay, upon redemption of his or her shares, a withholding tax of 30% on the income (in the form of interest, or capital gains or losses) derived from the return on assets invested in debt claims. Distributions are subject to withholding tax of 30% without income distinction. In case of subscription in a French investment fund (fonds commun de placement or FCP), you must declare on tax form, each year, the share of the dividends (and interest, if applicable) received by the Fund. Any complaint may be referred to complaints@carmignac.com or CARMIGNAC GESTION - Compliance and Internal Controls - 24 place Vendôme Paris France or on the website www.ombudsfin.be.

The Management Company can cease promotion in your country anytime. Investors have access to a summary of their rights at section 5 entitled "summary of investor rights" on the following links: UK ; Switzerland ; France ; Luxembourg ; Sweden. Belgium (French) ; Belgium (Dutch)

For Carmignac Portfolio Long-Short European Equities: Carmignac Gestion Luxembourg SA in its capacity as the Management Company for Carmignac Portfolio, has delegated the investment management of this Sub-Fund to White Creek Capital LLP (Registered in England and Wales with number OCC447169) from 2nd May 2024. White Creek Capital LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority with FRN : 998349.

Carmignac Private Evergreen refers to the Private Evergreen sub-fund of the SICAV Carmignac S.A. SICAV – PART II UCI, registered with the Luxembourg RCS under number B285278.