Carmignac: Insights and Perspectives

September 2025

Published on
September 30, 2025
Read time
3 minute(s) read

Performance review

We have been able to achieve such performance by staying true to our core values: independence, curiosity, and the courage to invest differently.
[Management Team] [Author] Thozet Kevin

Kevin Thozet

Portfolio Advisor, Member of the Investment Committee

80% of our assets rank in the 1st quartile over 3 years

For the 7th consecutive year, with only one exception, all our fixed income funds outperform their reference indicators. In just 5 years, our maturity fund range has exceeded €4 billion. Stock selection is the main driver of our equity funds’ performance.

  • +10%1 for Carmignac Investissement this year; major contributors came both from the United States and from the rest of the world.
  • +15%1 for Carmignac Emergents driven by a rigorous selection of promising companies across both dynamic markets (Brazil) and lagging ones (Taiwan).

Carmignac Patrimoine has continued the positive momentum established 2 years ago.

  • +10%1 in 2025, with balanced contributions from equities, bonds, currencies, and top-down hedging.
  • All within a controlled risk framework, as evidenced by the portfolio’s contained volatility, even during stress phases.

Our macroeconomic Outlook

Easing international tensions and fiscal stimulus brighten the economic outlook.
[Management Team] [Author] Gallardo Raphaël

Raphaël Gallardo

Chief Economist

TOWARDS A EUROPEAN REBOUND, BUT DESYNCHRONIZED - EUROPE

  • Europe, caught between U.S. tariffs and Chinese dumping, should grow only 0.6%in H2 2025, before benefiting in 2026 from the German stimulus plan.
  • Recovery would, however, be uneven: France would suffer from political instability and fiscal laxity; Germany would benefit from its stimulus; Italy would still be supported by the NGEU plan; Spain, driven by European funds and skilled immigration, would remain dynamic.

THE FED EXTENDS THE CYCLE, AT THE RISK OF INFLATION - UNITED STATES

  • Trump’s tariff threats are no match for China’s monopoly on rare earths. Trump was forced to back down on tariffs, the technology embargo, and the defense of Taiwan. Strengthened in his position of superiority, Xi has doubled his support for Putin’s Russia, which can therefore afford to ignore calls for a ceasefire. Europe, economically weakened and destabilized by the rise of populism, cannot align itself with U.S. proposals for radical sanctions against the Russia–China bloc.

  • The U.S. economy suffered a sharp slowdown in the first half of the year due to political uncertainty and the halt of immigration. The clarification of trade policy, along with tax cuts and lower interest rates, paves the way for a solid recovery at the beginning of 2026. The Fed could cut rates by 100bp by then; what happens next will depend on the political contest over control of the institution.

DIPLOMATIC GLORY, ECONOMIC STRUGGLES - CHINA

  • Xi Jinping’s regime has withstood U.S. tariff threats and leveraged Western division to assert its leadership over the Global South.
  • However, the domestic economy remains fragile: public spending cushions the shock without reviving construction or reassuring investors.
  • To avoid a dangerous rise in unemployment, Beijing will need to stimulate private consumption through a further widening of the budget deficit and its monetizationby the central bank.

Carmignac Patrimoine views

Global equities continue to benefit from a supportive environment.

Jacques Hirsch

Fund Manager
  • Fiscal stimulus, central bank support, potential recovery in growth and earnings,and share buybacks are all drivers supporting the markets.
  • Equity valuations, although historically high, rarely constitute a sufficient condition on their own to trigger a market downturn.
  • Two factors remain under our constant watch: the rise in real interest rates and the growth of investments in artificial intelligence. For now, neither appearsto pose an imminent risk to the markets.
Towards higher long-term rates.
[Management Team] [Author] Rigeade Guillaume

Guillaume Rigeade

Co-Head of Fixed Income, Fund Manager
Source and Copyright: Citywire. Guillaume Rigeade is AAA rated by Citywire for his/her rolling three-year risk-adjusted performance across all funds the manager is managing to the August 31, 2025. Citywire Fund Manager Ratings and Citywire Rankings are proprietary to Citywire Financial Publishers Ltd (“Citywire”) and © Citywire 2025. All rights reserved. The reference to a ranking or prize, is no guarantee of the future results of the UCITS or the manager. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance.
  • Rates, particularly at longer maturities, are expected to rise driven by a combination of market over-optimism on future Fed cuts, widening global budget deficits, and underestimated inflation risks.
  • This rise should mainly affect nominal rates rather than real rates, thereby limiting the pressure on equity and credit valuations.
  • Our strongest conviction within fixed-income remains inflation, leading us to maintain significant exposure to inflation-linked products, especially in the United States.
Equities, but not at any price.

Kristofer Barrett

Head of Global Equities, Fund Manager
Source and Copyright: Citywire. Kristofer Barrett is + rated by Citywire for his/her rolling three-year risk-adjusted performance across all funds the manager is managing to the August 31, 2025. Citywire Fund Manager Ratings and Citywire Rankings are proprietary to Citywire Financial Publishers Ltd (“Citywire”) and © Citywire 2025. All rights reserved. The reference to a ranking or prize, is no guarantee of the future results of the UCITS or the manager. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance.
  • Investment in AI continues to be fueled by the growing number of applications and the race for scale among hyperscalers, even though returns on investment remain uneven. Our strategy is therefore diversified, covering the entire value chain.
  • At the same time, we maintain exposure across a range of sectors, including financials and industrials, while seeking to capitalize on market pullbacks to capture structural growth at the right time and at the right price.

Flexibility: Equity & Bonds

Frédéric Leroux,
Head of Cross Asset, Fund Manager

  • The end of forty years of disinflation and of the zero-rate environment has brought back economic cyclicality.
  • The return of the cycle has reintroduced endogenous market volatility, demanding greater flexibility and a focus on varied investment themes.
[Management Team] [Author] Eliezer Ben Zimra

Eliezer Ben Zimra,
Fund Manager

  • Diverging economic dynamics and the return of inflation are creating opportunities in bond markets, which flexibility allows us to capture.
  • Moreover, the ability to manage allocation dynamically makes it possible to seize opportunities across the full spectrum of bond sub-segments.

In focus

ACTIVE MANAGEMENT IS ALL ABOUT TALENT

In the face of the industrialization of asset management, we cultivate the art of generating alpha.
[Management Team] Carmignac Maxime

Maxime Carmignac

Chief Executive Officer, Director of Carmignac UK Ltd.
  • We strive to attract top portfolio managers to put their talent at the service of our clients. The arrival of Kristofer Barrett on international equities, and more recently Naomi Waistell as co-manager of our emerging markets strategies, reflects this ambition.
  • The renewed momentum of Carmignac Patrimoine, driven by our four-manager team, confirms the relevance of the work carried out in recent years. Our goal is to make this performance the foundation of lasting success.
  • We also continue to innovate with new investment solutions: a multi-asset fund dedicated to inflation, an alternative credit fund,and soon, even more accessible Private Equity solutions.
1Period: 31/12/2024 > 29/08/2025 - 2Period: 15/05/2024 > 29/08/2025. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Carmignac Patrimoine A EUR Acc

ISIN: FR0010135103
Recommended minimum investment horizon
3 years
Risk indicator*
3/7
SFDR - Fund Classification**
Article 8

*Risk Scale from the KID (Key Information Document). Risk 1 does not mean a risk-free investment. This indicator may change over time. **The Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR) 2019/2088 is a European regulation that requires asset managers to classify their funds as either 'Article 8' funds, which promote environmental and social characteristics, 'Article 9' funds, which make sustainable investments with measurable objectives, or 'Article 6' funds, which do not necessarily have a sustainability objective. For more information please refer to https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2019/2088/oj.

Main risks of the fund

Equity: The Fund may be affected by stock price variations, the scale of which is dependent on external factors, stock trading volumes or market capitalization.
Interest Rate: Interest rate risk results in a decline in the net asset value in the event of changes in interest rates.
Credit: Credit risk is the risk that the issuer may default.
Currency: Currency risk is linked to exposure to a currency other than the Fund’s valuation currency, either through direct investment or the use of forward financial instruments.
The Fund presents a risk of loss of capital.

Fees

ISIN: FR0010135103
Entry costs
4.00% of the amount you pay in when entering this investment. This is the most you will be charged. Carmignac Gestion doesn't charge any entry fee. The person selling you the product will inform you of the actual charge.
Exit costs
We do not charge an exit fee for this product.
Management fees and other administrative or operating costs
1.50% of the value of your investment per year. This estimate is based on actual costs over the past year.
Performance fees
20.00% max. of the outperformance once performance since the start of the year exceeds that of the reference indicator and if no past underperformance still needs to be offset. The actual amount will vary depending on how well your investment performs. The aggregated cost estimation above includes the average over the last 5 years, or since the product creation if it is less than 5 years.
Transaction Cost
0.79% of the value of your investment per year. This is an estimate of the costs incurred when we buy and sell the investments underlying the product. The actual amount varies depending on the quantity we buy and sell.

Performance

ISIN: FR0010135103
Carmignac Patrimoine3.90.1-11.310.512.4-0.9-9.42.27.18.9
Reference Indicator8.11.5-0.118.25.213.3-10.37.711.4-1.5
Carmignac Patrimoine+ 6.8 %+ 2.5 %+ 2.1 %
Reference Indicator+ 3.8 %+ 4.7 %+ 5.4 %

Source: Carmignac at Aug 29, 2025.
​Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor).

Reference Indicator: 40% MSCI AC World NR index + 40% ICE BofA Global Government index + 20% €STR Capitalized index. Quarterly rebalanced.

Carmignac Investissement A EUR Acc

ISIN: FR0010148981
Recommended minimum investment horizon
5 years
Risk indicator*
4/7
SFDR - Fund Classification**
Article 8

*Risk Scale from the KID (Key Information Document). Risk 1 does not mean a risk-free investment. This indicator may change over time. **The Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR) 2019/2088 is a European regulation that requires asset managers to classify their funds as either 'Article 8' funds, which promote environmental and social characteristics, 'Article 9' funds, which make sustainable investments with measurable objectives, or 'Article 6' funds, which do not necessarily have a sustainability objective. For more information please refer to https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2019/2088/oj.

Main risks of the fund

Equity: The Fund may be affected by stock price variations, the scale of which is dependent on external factors, stock trading volumes or market capitalization.
Currency: Currency risk is linked to exposure to a currency other than the Fund’s valuation currency, either through direct investment or the use of forward financial instruments.
Discretionary Management: Anticipations of financial market changes made by the Management Company have a direct effect on the Fund's performance, which depends on the stocks selected.
The Fund presents a risk of loss of capital.

Fees

ISIN: FR0010148981
Entry costs
4.00% of the amount you pay in when entering this investment. This is the most you will be charged. Carmignac Gestion doesn't charge any entry fee. The person selling you the product will inform you of the actual charge.
Exit costs
We do not charge an exit fee for this product.
Management fees and other administrative or operating costs
1.50% of the value of your investment per year. This estimate is based on actual costs over the past year.
Performance fees
20.00% max. of the outperformance once performance since the start of the year exceeds that of the reference indicator and if no past underperformance still needs to be offset. The actual amount will vary depending on how well your investment performs. The aggregated cost estimation above includes the average over the last 5 years, or since the product creation if it is less than 5 years.
Transaction Cost
1.30% of the value of your investment per year. This is an estimate of the costs incurred when we buy and sell the investments underlying the product. The actual amount varies depending on the quantity we buy and sell.

Performance

ISIN: FR0010148981
Carmignac Investissement2.14.8-14.224.733.74.0-18.318.925.06.9
Reference Indicator11.18.9-4.828.96.727.5-13.018.125.31.1
Carmignac Investissement+ 14.9 %+ 9.1 %+ 7.6 %
Reference Indicator+ 11.9 %+ 12.5 %+ 10.6 %

Source: Carmignac at Aug 29, 2025.
​Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor).

Reference Indicator: MSCI AC World NR index

Carmignac Emergents A EUR Acc

ISIN: FR0010149302
Recommended minimum investment horizon
5 years
Risk indicator*
4/7
SFDR - Fund Classification**
Article 9

*Risk Scale from the KID (Key Information Document). Risk 1 does not mean a risk-free investment. This indicator may change over time. **The Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR) 2019/2088 is a European regulation that requires asset managers to classify their funds as either 'Article 8' funds, which promote environmental and social characteristics, 'Article 9' funds, which make sustainable investments with measurable objectives, or 'Article 6' funds, which do not necessarily have a sustainability objective. For more information please refer to https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2019/2088/oj.

Main risks of the fund

Equity: The Fund may be affected by stock price variations, the scale of which is dependent on external factors, stock trading volumes or market capitalization.
Emerging Markets: Operating conditions and supervision in "emerging" markets may deviate from the standards prevailing on the large international exchanges and have an impact on prices of listed instruments in which the Fund may invest.
Currency: Currency risk is linked to exposure to a currency other than the Fund’s valuation currency, either through direct investment or the use of forward financial instruments.
Discretionary Management: Anticipations of financial market changes made by the Management Company have a direct effect on the Fund's performance, which depends on the stocks selected.
The Fund presents a risk of loss of capital.

Fees

ISIN: FR0010149302
Entry costs
4.00% of the amount you pay in when entering this investment. This is the most you will be charged. Carmignac Gestion doesn't charge any entry fee. The person selling you the product will inform you of the actual charge.
Exit costs
We do not charge an exit fee for this product.
Management fees and other administrative or operating costs
1.50% of the value of your investment per year. This estimate is based on actual costs over the past year.
Performance fees
20.00% max. of the outperformance once performance since the start of the year exceeds that of the reference indicator and if no past underperformance still needs to be offset. The actual amount will vary depending on how well your investment performs. The aggregated cost estimation above includes the average over the last 5 years, or since the product creation if it is less than 5 years.
Transaction Cost
0.88% of the value of your investment per year. This is an estimate of the costs incurred when we buy and sell the investments underlying the product. The actual amount varies depending on the quantity we buy and sell.

Performance

ISIN: FR0010149302
Carmignac Emergents1.418.8-18.624.744.7-10.7-15.69.54.69.5
Reference Indicator14.520.6-10.320.68.54.9-14.96.114.75.3
Carmignac Emergents+ 7.7 %+ 4.6 %+ 6.6 %
Reference Indicator+ 7.9 %+ 6.7 %+ 7.3 %

Source: Carmignac at Sep 12, 2025.
​Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor).

Reference Indicator: MSCI EM NR index

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Marketing communication. Please refer to the KID/KIID, prospectus of the fund before making any final investment decisions. This document is intended for professional clients.

This material may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, without prior authorisation from the Management Company. This material does not constitute a subscription offer, nor does it constitute investment advice. This material is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. This material has been provided to you for informational purposes only and may not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or interests referred to herein or for any other purposes. The information contained in this material may be partial information and may be modified without prior notice. They are expressed as of the date of writing and are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources deemed by Carmignac to be reliable, are not necessarily all-inclusive and are not guaranteed as to accuracy. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by Carmignac, its officers, employees or agents.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor). The return may increase or decrease as a result of currency fluctuations, for the shares which are not currency-hedged.

Reference to certain securities and financial instruments is for illustrative purposes to highlight stocks that are or have been included in the portfolios of funds in the Carmignac range. This is not intended to promote direct investment in those instruments, nor does it constitute investment advice. The Management Company is not subject to prohibition on trading in these instruments prior to issuing any communication. The portfolios of Carmignac funds may change without previous notice. The reference to a ranking or prize, is no guarantee of the future results of the UCIS or the manager.

Morningstar Rating™ : © Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. The information contained herein: is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its content providers; may not be copied or distributed; and is not warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information.

Access to the Funds may be subject to restrictions regarding certain persons or countries. This material is not directed to any person in any jurisdiction where (by reason of that person’s nationality, residence or otherwise) the material or availability of this material is prohibited. Persons in respect of whom such prohibitions apply must not access this material. Taxation depends on the situation of the individual. The Funds are not registered for retail distribution in Asia, in Japan, in North America, nor are they registered in South America. Carmignac Funds are registered in Singapore as restricted foreign scheme (for professional clients only). The Funds have not been registered under the US Securities Act of 1933. The Funds may not be offered or sold, directly or indirectly, for the benefit or on behalf of a «U.S. person», according to the definition of the US Regulation S and FATCA.
The risks, fees and ongoing charges are described in the KID (Key Information Document). The KID must be made available to the subscriber prior to subscription. The subscriber must read the KID. Investors may lose some or all their capital, as the capital in the funds are not guaranteed. The Funds present a risk of loss of capital.

The Funds’ prospectus, KIDs, NAVs and annual reports are available at www.carmignac.com/en, or upon request to the Management Carmignac Portfolio refers to the sub-funds of Carmignac Portfolio SICAV, an investment company under Luxembourg law, conforming to the UCITS Directive. The French investment funds (fonds communs de placement or FCP) are common funds in contractual form conforming to the UCITS or AIFM Directive under French law.

  • In the United Kingdom: the Funds’ respective prospectuses, KIIDs and annual reports are available at www.carmignac.com/en-gb, or upon request to the Management Company, or for the French Funds, at the offices of the acilities Agent, Carmignac UK Ltd, 2 Carlton House Terrace, London, SW1Y 5AF. This document was prepared by Carmignac Gestion, Carmignac Gestion Luxembourg or Carmignac UK Ltd. FP Carmignac ICVC (the “Company”) is an Investment Company with variable capital incorporated in England and Wales under registered number 839620 and is authorised by the FCA with effect from 4 April 2019 and launched on 15 May 2019. FundRock Partners Limited is the Authorised Corporate Director (the “ACD”) of the Company and is authorised and regulated by the FCA. Registered Office: Hamilton Centre, Rodney Way, Chelmsford, Essex, CM1 3BY, UK; Registered in England and Wales with number 4162989. Carmignac Gestion Luxembourg SA has been appointed as the Investment Manager and distributor in respect of the Company. Carmignac UK Ltd (Registered in England and Wales with number 14162894) has been appointed as a sub-Investment Manager of the Company and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority with FRN:984288.

  • In Switzerland: the prospectus, KIDs and annual report are available at www.carmignac.com/en-ch, or through our representative in Switzerland, CACEIS (Switzerland), S.A., Route de Signy 35, CH-1260 Nyon. The paying agent is CACEIS Bank, Montrouge, Nyon Branch / Switzerland, Route de Signy 35, 1260 Nyon.

The Management Company can cease promotion in your country anytime. Investors have access to a summary of their rights in English on the following links: UK ; Switzerland ; France ; Luxembourg ; Sweden.

For Carmignac Portfolio Long-Short European Equities: Carmignac Gestion Luxembourg SA in its capacity as the Management Company for Carmignac Portfolio, has delegated the investment management of this Sub-Fund to White Creek Capital LLP (Registered in England and Wales with number OCC447169) from 2nd May 2024. White Creek Capital LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority with FRN : 998349.

Carmignac Private Evergreen refers to the Private Evergreen sub-fund of the SICAV Carmignac S.A. SICAV – PART II UCI, registered with the Luxembourg RCS under number B285278.