Alternative strategies

Carmignac Portfolio Merger Arbitrage Plus

SICAVGlobal marketArticle 8
Share Class

LU2601234169

An active absolute return strategy focusing on merger arbitrage opportunities
  • An active merger arbitrage strategy that aims to provide positive absolute returns, with limited correlation to equity markets.
  • An alternative strategy with a socially responsible investment approach, focusing on officially announced M&A deals in the developed markets.
Risk Indicator
3/7
Recommended Minimum Investment Horizon
3 years
Cumulative Performance since launch
+ 4.3 %
-
-
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+ 4.3 %
From 14/04/2023
To 17/04/2024
Calendar Year Performance 2023
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
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+ 3.8 %
Net Asset Value
104.3 £
Asset Under Management
142 M €
Market
Global market
SFDR - Fund Classification

Article

8
Data as of:  17 Apr 2024.
​Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor).

Carmignac Portfolio Merger Arbitrage Plus fund performance

Take a look at the Fund's performance supported by our Fund managers’ market commentary and strategy insight.

Our monthly comments

Data as of:  29 Mar 2024.
Fund management team

Market environment

Whereas the first two months of the year passed without any clear trend for Merger Arbitrage investments, March saw a squeeze on a number of discounts, resulting in a positive overall performance for the strategy. There are several reasons for this. Numerous deals were completed in March, in a change from the previous months. The largest of these included the takeovers of Sovos Brands by Campbell Soup for $3bn, Splunk by Cisco for $28bn, and Karuna Therapeutics by Bristol-Myers Squibb for $11bn. Nearly 21 deals were finalised in March, up from 7 in February. Once these deals are closed and settled, the capital reinvested in ongoing deals squeezes certain discounts, as happened with Pioneer Natural Resources, Hess and Cerevel Therapeutics. Also, some companies were successful in the key stages of their regulatory clearance process. For example, Brookfield AM finally obtained approval from the UAE central bank for its acquisition of Network International. Olink’s takeover by Thermo Fischer Scientific received the green light from the Icelandic antitrust authority and Swedish ministry of foreign affairs. After months of uncertainty, Japan Investment Corp finally had its application rubberstamped by China’s antitrust regulator, allowing it to make an official bid for JSR. Also helping the Merger Arbitrage strategy were two bidding wars in the UK: the first for logistics services company Wincanton and the second for telecom equipment supplier Spirent Communications. The two companies’ share prices rose by 33% and 12% respectively. However, there was also some bad news: with the presidential election campaign in the background, the Biden administration formalised its opposition to the takeover of United States Steel by Nippon Steels. Shares in the former fell by 19% as a result. In terms of M&A activity, despite a 12% dip in volume relative to the previous month, March rounded off a very good Q1 2024. 92 deals were announced in the first three months of the year, up 48% on the equivalent period of 2023. In value terms, growth was also very solid: 41% y/y thanks to the return of mega-deals. Eight deals worth more than $10bn were announced in Q1 2024, compared with just four in Q4 2023.

Performance commentary

Our Merger Arbitrage strategy delivered a positive return over the month. The three main sources of performance were: 1) the squeeze on the JSR discount after the Chinese regulator gave its approval, allowing the buyer to formalise its offer; 2) the bidding war over Spirent Communications between two US equipment manufacturers, Viavi Solutions and Keysight Technologies, which pushed the target price up by nearly 12%; and 3) the convergence of the discount on Karuna Therapeutics after the deal was finalised in the days that followed approval under the HSR Act. Negative influences on performance included a small position on United States Steel, for which the political angle is more significant than expected. As in February, volatility on Capri, which seems to be the focus of arbitrageurs’ fears about antitrust risk, weighed on performance.

Outlook strategy

The upturn in M&A over the fourth quarter of 2023, and confirmed early this year, did not discourage us from trimming the Fund’s investment rate from 105% to 100%. Diversification remains satisfactory with 40 different M&A deals in the portfolio. We think that 2024 will see busier M&A activity after three years of decline. There are several encouraging signs: the prospect of monetary easing, which should bring back financial buyers; the return of mega deals in the second half of last year; the refocusing of M&A activity on sectors of the “old economy” due to the energy transition; and the resumption of deals in sectors like Technology, as in January when, structurally, external growth formed an integral part of business models. Announced in August 2023, new directives concerning takeover law in Japan should help kick-start activity in Asia. The risk premium on the Merger Arbitrage strategy still offers investors some attractive returns, especially at a time when few deals are collapsing.

Performance Overview

Data as of:  17 Apr 2024.
​Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor). Morningstar Rating™ :  © Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. The information contained herein: is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its content providers; may not be copied or distributed; and is not warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information.
Source: Carmignac at 19/04/2024

Carmignac Portfolio Merger Arbitrage Plus Portfolio overview

Below is an overview of the composition of the portfolio.

Geographical Breakdown

Data as of:  28 Mar 2024.
North America27.1 %
Other countries21.7 %
Europe EUR10.6 %
Europe ex-EUR5.2 %
Total % of alternative64.6 %
North America27.1 %
usUSA
16.1 %
caCanada
11.0 %

Key figures

Below are the key figures for the Fund, which will give you a clearer idea of the Fund's management and equity positioning.

Exposure Data

Data as of:  28 Mar 2024.
Equity Investment Weight62.2 %
Net Equity Exposure64.6 %
Number of Equity Issuers31
Active Share50.0 %

The strategy in a nutshell

Discover the Fund’s main features and benefits through the words of the Fund Managers.
Fund Management Team
The advantage of Merger Arbitrage strategy is that it carries virtually no market risk. The only associated risk is that of a deal failure. That is why our approach is very cautious on two levels: we’re very selective in choosing the deals and we aim to maintain a highly diversified portfolio.
View Fund's characteristics
Reference to certain securities and financial instruments is for illustrative purposes to highlight stocks that are or have been included in the portfolios of funds in the Carmignac range. This is not intended to promote direct investment in those instruments, nor does it constitute investment advice. The Management Company is not subject to prohibition on trading in these instruments prior to issuing any communication. The portfolios of Carmignac funds may change without previous notice.
The reference to a ranking or prize, is no guarantee of the future results of the UCIS or the manager.
Carmignac Portfolio is a sub-fund of Carmignac Portfolio SICAV, an investment company under Luxembourg law, conforming to the UCITS Directive.