Calendar Year Performance 2014Calendar Year Performance 2015Calendar Year Performance 2016Calendar Year Performance 2017Calendar Year Performance 2018Calendar Year Performance 2019Calendar Year Performance 2020Calendar Year Performance 2021Calendar Year Performance 2022Calendar Year Performance 2023
-
-
-
-
- 4.8 %
+ 18.7 %
+ 13.9 %
+ 9.5 %
- 12.7 %
+ 2.1 %
Net Asset Value
129.5 €
Asset Under Management
501 M €
Market
European market
SFDR - Fund Classification
Article
8
Data as of: 28 Mar 2024.
Data as of: 25 Apr 2024.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor).
Economic activity remains weak in Europe. Eurozone manufacturing and services PMIs drifted further apart in March, with the former particularly low. UK data was more positive: GDP improved a little in January, and the composite PMI stayed in expansionary territory throughout the first quarter. European inflation rates dropped further despite persistent tensions on the labour market. US data continues to reflect a degree of economic resilience, with inflation figures still high. In the light of this, the Fed and the ECB are sticking to their plan and will probably start cutting interest rates this summer. This backdrop of robust growth, persistent inflation and more accommodative central banks is keeping the risky asset rally alive. The Stoxx 600 Europe performed well, beating its US equivalent. The rally spread to more corners of the market at the end of the month when cyclical sectors rebounded as commodity prices climbed. Credit also continued to perform well. European yields eased in March, while the growth differential between the United States and the Eurozone persists.
Performance commentary
The Fund was up in March, in line with its reference indicator. Sector rotation between European equities weighed on the relative performance of our long-term convictions. Quality and growth stocks such as Alcon and Dassault Systèmes underperformed. However, as we mentioned last month, we have added futures on more cyclical sector indices, which served their purpose in March. Exposure to gold was also profitable, as bullion prices hit new highs. On fixed income markets, credit was the main source of performance – financials in particular. Our JPY/EUR position was the biggest drag, despite the Bank of Japan’s decision to terminate its negative interest rate policy.
Outlook strategy
European inflation continues to fall, while growth – though weak – seems to be improving. We are therefore expecting the ECB to act in June and lower its interest rates for the first time since 2020. This should benefit risky assets. We have nonetheless diversified our equity investments, increasing exposure to more cyclical sectors such as metals and automotive. We also strengthened our position on gold and copper during the month. We feel confident about commodities, which should benefit from the manufacturing industry’s gradual rebound. The equity markets’ strong rally over recent months could lead to volatility over the coming weeks. To overcome this, we are looking at cheap ways of protecting the portfolio: buying volatility options and credit default swaps. At a sovereign debt level, our exposure to interest rate movements remains limited as, despite signs of central banks pivoting, solid inflation and economic data call for caution, especially at the long end of the yield curve.
Reference to certain securities and financial instruments is for illustrative purposes to highlight stocks that are or have been included in the portfolios of funds in the Carmignac range. This is not intended to promote direct investment in those instruments, nor does it constitute investment advice. The Management Company is not subject to prohibition on trading in these instruments prior to issuing any communication. The portfolios of Carmignac funds may change without previous notice.
The reference to a ranking or prize, is no guarantee of the future results of the UCIS or the manager.
Carmignac Portfolio is a sub-fund of Carmignac Portfolio SICAV, an investment company under Luxembourg law, conforming to the UCITS Directive.
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Market environment
Economic activity remains weak in Europe. Eurozone manufacturing and services PMIs drifted further apart in March, with the former particularly low. UK data was more positive: GDP improved a little in January, and the composite PMI stayed in expansionary territory throughout the first quarter. European inflation rates dropped further despite persistent tensions on the labour market. US data continues to reflect a degree of economic resilience, with inflation figures still high. In the light of this, the Fed and the ECB are sticking to their plan and will probably start cutting interest rates this summer. This backdrop of robust growth, persistent inflation and more accommodative central banks is keeping the risky asset rally alive. The Stoxx 600 Europe performed well, beating its US equivalent. The rally spread to more corners of the market at the end of the month when cyclical sectors rebounded as commodity prices climbed. Credit also continued to perform well. European yields eased in March, while the growth differential between the United States and the Eurozone persists.